Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.059021 0.066869 0.074885 0.083654 0.092949 0.102480 0.112965
2025-09-21 0.048599 0.060360 0.072925 0.087213 0.102886 0.119446 0.138158
2025-09-28 0.040382 0.054417 0.069998 0.088274 0.108850 0.131064 0.156637
2025-10-05 0.037935 0.054279 0.072926 0.095263 0.120843 0.148836 0.181431
2025-10-12 0.031850 0.049097 0.069436 0.094396 0.123525 0.155877 0.194002
2025-10-19 0.028123 0.046315 0.068387 0.096020 0.128756 0.165533 0.209274
2025-10-26 0.024431 0.043163 0.066567 0.096452 0.132372 0.173162 0.222089
2025-11-02 0.021690 0.040956 0.065685 0.097819 0.136925 0.181738 0.235870
2025-11-09 0.018737 0.038145 0.063808 0.097776 0.139646 0.188067 0.246970
2025-11-16 0.015109 0.033966 0.059857 0.094902 0.138755 0.190010 0.252858
2025-11-23 0.012091 0.030304 0.056321 0.092332 0.138055 0.192033 0.258713
2025-11-30 0.010544 0.028748 0.055531 0.093195 0.141501 0.198917 0.270201
2025-12-07 0.009269 0.027593 0.055364 0.095022 0.146375 0.207801 0.284416
2025-12-14 0.008629 0.027477 0.056676 0.098836 0.153798 0.219832 0.302460
2025-12-21 0.007384 0.026089 0.056037 0.099971 0.157795 0.227701 0.315561
2025-12-28 0.007770 0.027822 0.060056 0.107437 0.169869 0.245402 0.340385
2026-01-04 0.006231 0.025579 0.057980 0.106512 0.171167 0.249942 0.349495
2026-01-11 0.005427 0.024681 0.057878 0.108244 0.175838 0.258575 0.363478
2026-01-18 0.004482 0.023289 0.056909 0.108705 0.178818 0.265102 0.374911
2026-01-25 0.003821 0.022406 0.056682 0.110163 0.183065 0.273170 0.388184
2026-02-01 0.003017 0.020962 0.055444 0.110117 0.185293 0.278703 0.398372
2026-02-08 0.001972 0.018434 0.052203 0.107051 0.183429 0.279059 0.402209
2026-02-15 0.001196 0.016209 0.049278 0.104308 0.181893 0.279749 0.406392